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Entries in TARP (6)

Sunday
Oct102010

Aren't Geithner and Bernanke eerily quiet about the Foreclosure Crisis?

Maybe I'm missing something, but it strikes me there's been a deafening silence emanating from Treasury Secretary, Tim Geithner, and Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben Bernanke, on the foreclosure front. It’s as if they a) don’t read the news or b) are afraid someone will notice their incompetence. While Senator Harry Reid, Nancy Pelosi and other Congress people are dispensing irate pre-election sound-bites, Attorney Generals across the country are gearing up for investigations and lawsuits, and banks are announcing foreclosure moratoriums because it’s quarterly earnings season and uncertainty is bad for stock prices, (plus they are afraid their REO customers (private equity funds, asset managers, etc) will fear future legal repercussions, so they’ll have nowhere to dump all the properties they can’t sell), Geithner spent last week defending TARP (again) and talking up the merits of global economic coordination and the dollar.  Meanwhile, the Fed is gearing up to buy more Treasuries (in addition to its $300 billion program) because no one else wants them, like some kind of alien that spawns offspring so it can eat its  own progeny.

Foreclosure fraud is not new, many sane people and organizations have been talking about it for years, plus you don’t manufacture $14 trillion worth of mortgage backed securities in all their permuted and over-leveraged glory out of $1.4 trillion worth of subprime loans in 5 years without cutting a lot of corners.  But the reason this situation is hairy for Geithner and Bernanke is that the government owns or is backing trillions of dollars worth of assets predicated on the same suspicious loans that were defaulting into the 2008 crisis period they did nothing to stop, while lavishing the banks that promulgated them with the biggest bailout and subsidization in US history.

The Fed owns nearly $1.5 trillion toxic assets that already have no bid (actual buyer), and will have less of a bid the more uncertainty there is about the loans that fill them. The Treasury is directly backing $400 billion of GSE securities, and is behind another $6.8 trillion of indirect backup to the GSE's. Both entities are desperately hoping the financial market doesn't seize up (yes the market, they don’t seem to be bothered about individuals and their homes), so they don't become the only bid again (well, actually still) behind any securitized asset. That would ruin their story – that the bailout worked even though it did absolutely nothing to help borrowers at the loan level, or by extension the general economy.

Wednesday
Oct062010

TARP musical parody video wins at LA International Film Festival

Last year at a West Hollywood book event, I had the pleasure of meeting the talented and edgy first-time film director, Michael Cornell and executive producer, Tracey Paleo, of the TARP musical parody video, Live my Life. (The main character was inspired by former Treasury Secretary, Hank Paulson.) 

I loved the video and the passion of its creators. Sometimes, music and lyrics capture more meaning and heart than pundits and articles. Competing with over 700 films from around the world, Live my Life just won honorable mention at the first, new wave 2010 International Film Festival. In June, the video placed in the top five finalists at the 2010 SoCal Film Market. It will be screening this Friday night, Oct 8 at the LAI Film Festival in Santa Monica at 9:30 PM. And in two weeks, on October 16th, it will play as an official selection at the star-studded LA Femme Film Festival. I will be there.

Check out the team. Spread the video around! 

Thursday
Sep302010

Two Years Since TARP - $7.8 Trillion Remaining Pillage Leftovers

Big Bailout’s Second Anniversary and Multi-Trillion Dollar Pillage Leftovers

It’s been two years since the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 spawned TARP, a tiny portion (at one time 3%) of the federal bank bailout and subsidization plan. Today, after TARP expires on October 3, 2010, the remaining potential subsidization still stands at $7.8 trillion, including $3.5 trillion to support the financial sector, $2.8 trillion behind the GSE’s, and $1.5 trillion of Main Street stimulus due to the Wall Street fallout.

TARP was accompanied by an unprecedented array of subsidies, which at one time totaled over $19.4 trillion. At the height of those subsidies, $15.4 trillion of this support was on offer to the banking sector, approximately $2.5 trillion - with no defined limit - was available to the GSE’s (not including another $6.8 trillion of implicit government guarantees), and $1.5 trillion was made available in Bush and Obama stimulus packages for citizens caught in the banking wars crossfire.

The significant drop from $15.4 to $3.5 trillion for Wall Street subsidies, is largely due to the closing of key Federal Reserve facilities, including a $1 trillion Term Asset Backed Securities Loan Facility, a $1.8 trillion Commercial Paper Funding Facility, a $900 billion Term Auction Facility (paused, not closed), a $540 billion Money Market Facility, and $3.7 trillion in Money Market Fund Treasury guarantees.  

Remaining Open Subsidies Include:

Federal Reserve

  • ·      $1.25 trillion of mortgage-backed securities purchases
  • ·      $175 billion of GSE debt purchases
  • ·      $300 billion of Treasury purchases (and counting)

Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation

  • ·      $684 billion under the Transaction Account Guarantee Program
  • ·      $293 billion of debt under the expired Debt Guarantee Program

Treasury Department

  • ·      $400 billion Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae back up (technically unlimited)
  • ·      $220 billion GSE mortgage-backed securities purchases
  • ·      $260 billion under TARP, due to expire for new extensions October 3, 2010

Some may view the end of TARP and the dramatic reduction in open subsidies as an indication that the bailout worked. Those are the same people that swear that without it, the Main Street Economy would have been so much worse than: nearly double the unemployment rate, 7.7 million new foreclosures since September 2008, and 69.9 percent more bankruptcies. If anything, it shows what over stimulating the wrong recipients does – it rewards reckless behavior - while ignoring the ramifications and comparative remedies to the greater population and general economy. That’s not a success in my book. 

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