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Monday
Jul122010

Haiti, Six months after the Earthquake

My friend, outstanding journalist and author, Michael Deibert wrote a sobering piece in today's UK Guardian about the state of Haiti six months after the earthquake that killed over 200,000 people. He notes, for instance, that "only 2% of a promised $5.3 billion in reconstruction aid has materialized," and how political posturing  and economic policy played such a big role in the condition of the nation's poorest people, well before the quake.  It reminded me of the time I spent in Louisiana and Mississippi for writing Jacked, after the post-Katrina media spotlight waned. Problems from flooding certainly abounded, but they only exacerbated class-related conditions. 

Check out his piece: http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2010/jul/12/haiti-earthquake-redevelopment/print

Saturday
Jun262010

Financial Reform Bill is NOT Reform 

There were no last minute sudden-death surprises in the reconciled financial reform bill that emerged in the early hours of Friday morning. It remains an opus of technical modifications, that brings no meaningful structural reform to the financial landscape.

The stock prices of Wall Street banks certainly didn't rise in response, because banks feared their business models would be hampered with. At the end of the day, the field remains controlled by an elite group of mega-influential, complex, trading-oriented institutions that can hold consumer deposits and retain federal support. The conflicting practices of putting capital (whatever the limits on it turn out to be ) behind speculative vs.  productive means will not be split up ala Glass Steagall. 

The notion of banks having to create a separate subsidiary for some derivatives (which are still TBD) is a license to shove more crap off-book, not to reduce risk; it's a different version of the SPV's that hid true financial states from Enron to Citigroup.  

The Volcker rule in any form was only going to contain a minute portion of overall trading activity at best, and not the customer-driven, market-maker, hedging activity that comprises most of the systemic risk, and lies at the route of this, and any future, crisis. 

The likelihood that the new ten-person oversight council, headed by Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke and Treasury Secretary, Tim Geithner whose 'day-jobs' entailed propping up the banks and maintaining their status quo mode of operations, will prevent future crises, when neither of these men care to even address the current situation of rising trading profits over lending activities, is one of misplaced optimism at best.  The fact that the Fed retains uber-regulatory authority legitimizes the trillions of dollars it made available to fund bad bank decisions. These banks were indeed made larger, and more systemically dangerous, by the regulators that subsidized them as they teetered on the brink of failure - including Bernanke and Geithner. 

This will not end well. There was a shot to be made for real reform, but it has failed like a kick outside the goal posts at any World Cup game. 

Friday
Jun252010

Financial 'Reform' Bill - Reconciled, Edges Tinkered, Not Actual Reform

Senator Chris Dodd may have cried out of sleep deprivation when a Senate-House financial reform' agreement was reached early this morning, after 20 hours of debate (twice that of the epic Wimbledon match), but when the drama wears off, he should be crying because this bill will not prevent another crisis, nor meaningfully alter the way Wall Street does business. It does not fundamentally restructure or break up big banks, nor bring back Glass Steagall, nor halt excessive complex asset or derivatives transactions or 'hedge' oriented trading. Plus, it leaves the Fed in charge of policing a system comprised of mega banks of the Fed's own making. Yes, there are slight cosmetic positives, but any good trader can ram right through them.